There have been many debates about a hypothetical future where AI becomes intelligent beyond the ability of humans to understand or control it. While most of these conversations are fueled by fiction, the topic has gained momentum in recent years after a list of science and industry notables, including Bill Gates, Stephen Hawking and Elon Musk, voiced the potential threat represented by intelligent machines.
The reason this is such a compelling talking point is that it can be understood in many different ways. Last year, DeepMind researchers argued in a paper submitted to the peer-reviewed journal on artificial intelligence that “the reward is enough” to achieve general AI, but not everyone is d ‘OK. AGI researchers estimate that the “optimistic” timeline is 2022, the most realistic is 2040 and the most pessimistic is 2075.
Period of optimism, but not for Optimus
The subject of humanoids became a hot topic on the internet last week after Musk introduced the long-awaited and highly publicized Tesla Bot Optimus at Tesla Day. Tesla says Optimus’ artificial intelligence system is an extension of technology used in the company’s self-driving cars. Musk has been promising to launch driverless cars since 2014. However, it’s 2022 and Tesla can’t yet fully understand the level of safety cars need. But if 50-year-old Musk’s bet has made anything clear, it’s that he thrives on contradiction.
Getting back to Optimus, then how impressed should we be? Most roboticists were disappointed. “None of this is state-of-the-art. Hire PhDs and attend @Tesla robotics talks,” tweeted Cynthia Yeung, roboticist at Plus One Robotics, which develops software for logistics robots.
Robotics experts have been sharing their thoughts across the internet, and we’ve rounded them up for you below:
Musk recorded against AI
While Musk supported the development of AI, the warning about the diabolical potential of AI was a recurring theme in his comments— often quoting a movie released when he was just 13.
“There have been movies about it, like ‘[The] Terminator’. There are frightening results,” Musk said in 2014.
Soon after, Musk called AI development “summoning the demon” but invested in space”keep an eye on it ». A month later, he posted on Edge.org that unless you have direct exposure to bands like DeepMind, they have no idea how fast it is. [AI] grows at a rate close to exponential. According to Musk, in the next five to ten years, something very dangerous is bound to happen.
“It’s not about crying wolf about something I don’t understand. I’m not the only one who thinks we should be worried. Major AI companies have taken great measures to ensure security. They recognize the danger but believe they can shape and control digital superintelligences and prevent bad ones from escaping onto the internet. That remains to be seen,” Musk wrote.
The billionaire entrepreneur doubled down and once again publicly referred to “The Terminator,” quoting his neurotech startup “Neuralink.” But this time “as inspiration”.
In 2019, tech mogul Bill Gates also expressed his views comparing AI to nuclear weapons, calling it “both promising but dangerous”. In the same year, the CEO of Tesla claimed that DeepMind, the subsidiary of Google’s parent company “Alphabet”, was a “major concern” regarding AI. Moreover, in an interview with the New York Times, he expressed his views on the destructive nature of AI and called it a plot of “War Games”, a sci-fi thriller.
Apart from public comments, the disagreement was visible in 2018 when he resigned from his position at OpenAI, a non-profit AI research group focused on “ensuring that AGI benefits all of humanity”. . Musk was a major patron of OpenAI and cited potential conflicts of interest with Tesla’s own AI efforts during his resignation.
The $100,000 bet
Earlier this year, Musk decided to jump into a very charged Twitter debate about the ability of AI or AGI and its ability to understand or learn intellectual tasks that human beings can handle. But, as usual, Musk’s tweets weren’t necessarily delightful and led to a massive spat between him and other tech leaders on the platform.
In a new post, Gary Marcus, AGI’s Twitter review manager, wrote an open letter to Musk, offering to place a $100,000 bet on AGI appearing by 2029. Until present, Marcus was not overly impressed with Musk’s comments. . But this is not the first time that Elon has demonstrated his doubts about AI and its scope. He also made several previously unsubstantiated promises.
Musk has yet to respond to Marcus’ challenge. It’s almost like he’s not sure of his statements now. But, it is quite evident that it has inspired the ire of some diligent scientists who are doing everything they can to make AGI a reality by 2029.
Musk’s shenanigans on Twitter
“There is a symbiosis between Elon and the press that annoys many AI researchers, and this is the price the community has to pay,” wrote Cade Metz in his book “Genius Makers”.
AI isn’t the only topic Musk controversially tweets about. His Twitter page is a goldmine of tweets that want his phone taken away.
Late last year, on a podcast with Lex Friedman, Musk said that Tesla Bot could develop a personality, taking into account the characteristics and wishes of their owners: “It could develop a personality over a unique time. It’s not like all robots are the same, this personality could evolve to match the owner, or whatever you want to call it.
Musk has provoked the Internet, saying that his company Tesla could play a role in AGI, especially with the arrival of “Optimus”. This can be called somewhat unconscionable given the number of warnings Twitterati has issued about the risks AGI can pose to humanity.